Author: Giovani L. Vasconcelos; Antônio M. S. Macêdo; Raydonal Ospina; Francisco A. G. Almeida; Gerson C. Duarte-Filho; Inês C. L. Souza
Title: Modelling fatality curves of COVID-19 and the effectiveness of intervention strategies Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 35b3efom_48
Snippet: Another important contribution of the present study is to provide an analytical formula to quantitatively assess the efficiency of intervention measures in an ongoing epidemics. Interventions strategies are defined in the context of the Richards model as a change in the model parameters at some specified time, referred to as the intervention adoption time. Our formula shows that, in general, the efficiency of an intervention strategy decays quite.....
Document: Another important contribution of the present study is to provide an analytical formula to quantitatively assess the efficiency of intervention measures in an ongoing epidemics. Interventions strategies are defined in the context of the Richards model as a change in the model parameters at some specified time, referred to as the intervention adoption time. Our formula shows that, in general, the efficiency of an intervention strategy decays quite quickly as the adoption time is delayed, thus showing that time is really of essence in containing an outbreak. 12 All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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