Author: Erida Gjini
Title: Modeling Covid-19 dynamics for real-time estimates and projections: an application to Albanian data Document date: 2020_3_23
ID: ela022bo_46
Snippet: Although at first sight it may seem that the model does not capture the specific isolation of contacts of confirmed cases, but only a global progressive transmission-reducing intervention, the increase in contact-tracing as the number of confirmed cases increases, can be mathematically close to the dynamic increase in efficacy of control (β(t)), studied here in terms of one of the modes of control. In contrast, the social distancing alone, could.....
Document: Although at first sight it may seem that the model does not capture the specific isolation of contacts of confirmed cases, but only a global progressive transmission-reducing intervention, the increase in contact-tracing as the number of confirmed cases increases, can be mathematically close to the dynamic increase in efficacy of control (β(t)), studied here in terms of one of the modes of control. In contrast, the social distancing alone, could be approximated to have contributed mainly a constant fixed effect on transmission reduction.
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