Selected article for: "ICU care and metropolitan area"
Author: Claudia Rivera-Rodriguez; Beatriz Piedad Urdinola
Title: Modelling strategies to predict hospital demand during the COVID-19 outbreak in Bogotá, Colombia
  • Document date: 2020_4_18
    • ID: 6qfryfnt_13
    Snippet: One implication of our model is that it does not consider events such as births, and it only considers deaths due to COVID-19. Note that we assume 90 that patients transit from E to ICU care directly, therefore we assume that the average time from (E) to (I U ) is larger than the average time from (E) to (I NoU ) and subsequently this is larger than the average time from (E) to (I H ). These transitions and considerations are summarized in figure.....
    Document: One implication of our model is that it does not consider events such as births, and it only considers deaths due to COVID-19. Note that we assume 90 that patients transit from E to ICU care directly, therefore we assume that the average time from (E) to (I U ) is larger than the average time from (E) to (I NoU ) and subsequently this is larger than the average time from (E) to (I H ). These transitions and considerations are summarized in figure 1. We also assume that only patients in ICU die, while other infected patients recover. The total 95 population of Bogotá is 7.4 million, but we assume an initial population size of 8 million to account for its metropolitan area because people commute to work and study daily from those surrounding towns to Bogotá Capital District.

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