Author: Macedo, A. M. S.; Brum, A. A.; Duarte-Filho, G. C.; Almeida, F. A. G.; Ospina, R.; Vasconcelos, G. L.
Title: A comparative analysis between a SIRD compartmental model and the Richards growth model Cord-id: jgko7b0j Document date: 2020_8_6
ID: jgko7b0j
Snippet: We propose a compartmental SIRD model with time-dependent parameters that can be used to give epidemiological interpretations to the phenomenological parameters of the Richards growth model. We illustrate the use of the map between these two models by fitting the fatality curves of the COVID-19 epidemic data in Italy, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, Cuba, and Japan.
Document: We propose a compartmental SIRD model with time-dependent parameters that can be used to give epidemiological interpretations to the phenomenological parameters of the Richards growth model. We illustrate the use of the map between these two models by fitting the fatality curves of the COVID-19 epidemic data in Italy, Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, Cuba, and Japan.
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