Author: Qiushi Lin; Taojun Hu; Xiao-Hua Zhou
Title: Estimating the daily trend in the size of the COVID-19 infected population in Wuhan Document date: 2020_2_13
ID: lvjveaob_40
Snippet: The estimated reporting case rate has increased rapidly, reaching over 30% by February 11, 2020. It is almost doubled in the following two days, mainly due to the inclusion of 14,031 clinically diagnosed cases in the case reports of Wuhan. This might indicate that the testing capacity of Wuhan is insufficient. Clinical diagnosis could be a good complement to the current method of confirmation. The currently reported number of 35,991 cases as of F.....
Document: The estimated reporting case rate has increased rapidly, reaching over 30% by February 11, 2020. It is almost doubled in the following two days, mainly due to the inclusion of 14,031 clinically diagnosed cases in the case reports of Wuhan. This might indicate that the testing capacity of Wuhan is insufficient. Clinical diagnosis could be a good complement to the current method of confirmation. The currently reported number of 35,991 cases as of February 13, 2020, is still far below our estimate of 58,153. There may still be a lot of unreported cases. More thorough screening of all patients with a mild or moderate symptoms of respiratory diseases should be conducted to better control the spread of COVID-19.
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