Author: Deqiang Li; Zhicheng Liu; Qinghe Liu; Zefei Gao; Junkai Zhu; Junyan Yang; Qiao Wang
Title: Estimating the Efficacy of Traffic Blockage and Quarantine for the Epidemic Caused by 2019-nCoV (COVID-19) Document date: 2020_2_17
ID: 6f6t558e_19
Snippet: Basically, we follow the standard SEIR [11] [12] [13] model to evaluate the state of infections. However, since the epidemic of COVID-19 appeared around the Chinese Spring Festival, the nationwide traffic should be modeled by the traffic network flow, in order to characterize the huge number of population flows in and out all provinces (cities), which formed the flow-SEHIR model in [10] . Here we simplify it into a Flow-SEIR model, and then estim.....
Document: Basically, we follow the standard SEIR [11] [12] [13] model to evaluate the state of infections. However, since the epidemic of COVID-19 appeared around the Chinese Spring Festival, the nationwide traffic should be modeled by the traffic network flow, in order to characterize the huge number of population flows in and out all provinces (cities), which formed the flow-SEHIR model in [10] . Here we simplify it into a Flow-SEIR model, and then estimate the influence of the migration and the efficacy of traffic blockage. The Flow-SEIR model is:
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