Selected article for: "exponential smoothing model and smoothing model"
Author: Maryam Moghadami; Maryam Moghadami; Mohammad Hassanzadeh; ka wa; Aziz Hedayati; Mila Malekolkalami
Title: Modeling the Corona Virus Outbreak in IRAN
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
    • ID: f3qeoyvf_26
    Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20041095 doi: medRxiv preprint Based on the exponential smoothing model, the projection for the next 90 days across the top 5 with the most reported confirmed cases are shown in illustration 4. If no control measures are put in place, it is expected that over 40,000 would be infected in Tehran around the middle of June. However, if con.....
    Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20041095 doi: medRxiv preprint Based on the exponential smoothing model, the projection for the next 90 days across the top 5 with the most reported confirmed cases are shown in illustration 4. If no control measures are put in place, it is expected that over 40,000 would be infected in Tehran around the middle of June. However, if control measures were implemented with a high degree of success, one would expect the spread of the COV-19 virus would peak at the start of April with a downward trend dropping off by the end of May (70 days). In the scenario, that no further measures are implemented, one would expect the spread of COVID-19 to continue on a gentle incline, reaching 21,000 by mid-June.

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