Author: Sebastian Alexander Muller; Michael Balmer; Andreas Neumann; Kai Nagel
Title: Mobility traces and spreading of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: ejdbx7q7_7
Snippet: The SARS-CoV-2 virus is increasingly affecting the world's population. Neither treatments nor vaccines are currently known. Although the infection does not lead to severe illness for many people, about 10-20% of infected persons need hospital care, and about 5% become critical (Robert Koch Institute 2020). Given, say, 22000 hospital beds (Berlin.de n.d.) for 3.5 million people in Berlin, it is clear that 100000 simultaneously infected persons, ne.....
Document: The SARS-CoV-2 virus is increasingly affecting the world's population. Neither treatments nor vaccines are currently known. Although the infection does not lead to severe illness for many people, about 10-20% of infected persons need hospital care, and about 5% become critical (Robert Koch Institute 2020). Given, say, 22000 hospital beds (Berlin.de n.d.) for 3.5 million people in Berlin, it is clear that 100000 simultaneously infected persons, needing 10000 to 20000 hospital beds, would push the system beyond its limits. It is therefore plausible that the spread of the infection needs to be slowed down, to something like well below 10000 infections per week and ideally much less.
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