Author: Erida Gjini
Title: Modeling Covid-19 dynamics for real-time estimates and projections: an application to Albanian data Document date: 2020_3_23
ID: ela022bo_29
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint is the number of expected imported Covid-19 cases during one month in Albania from Italy, computed from travel statistics and epidemics in Italy. This number (≈ 50) is close to the number exposed estimated with the model (E 0 = 78) under assumed symptomatic percentage of 60%, incubation period of 6.5 days, and infectious period of 11 days. This match adds confidence to support the model results......
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint is the number of expected imported Covid-19 cases during one month in Albania from Italy, computed from travel statistics and epidemics in Italy. This number (≈ 50) is close to the number exposed estimated with the model (E 0 = 78) under assumed symptomatic percentage of 60%, incubation period of 6.5 days, and infectious period of 11 days. This match adds confidence to support the model results.
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