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Author: Yun-ting He; Hao He; Jing Zhai; Xiao-jin Wang; Bing-shun Wang
Title: Moving-average based index to timely evaluate the current epidemic situation after COVID-19 outbreak
  • Document date: 2020_3_26
  • ID: bcde0u7u_52
    Snippet: The index kept going down for a long time. The epidemic has entered a period of decline since February 5, and has entered a stable remission period since February 13. It is worth noting that the upper limit of the index fell below 1.0 on February 13. However, after a period of decline, the index suddenly rose to over 1.0 again because of the massive growth of daily new laboratory-confirmed cases on February 20 and on February 26. The rise on Feb .....
    Document: The index kept going down for a long time. The epidemic has entered a period of decline since February 5, and has entered a stable remission period since February 13. It is worth noting that the upper limit of the index fell below 1.0 on February 13. However, after a period of decline, the index suddenly rose to over 1.0 again because of the massive growth of daily new laboratory-confirmed cases on February 20 and on February 26. The rise on Feb 20 was caused by cluster epidemic in prisons. On February 28, the number of daily new laboratory-confirmed cases dropped to less than 5, so we replaced the EEI of laboratory-confirmed cases with the EEI of suspected cases to evaluate the epidemic situation after February 28. . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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