Author: Robert Moss; James Wood; Damien Brown; Freya Shearer; Andrew J Black; Allen Cheng; James M McCaw; Jodie McVernon
Title: Modelling the impact of COVID-19 in Australia to inform transmission reducing measures and health system preparedness Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: emodr41j_24
Snippet: Increasing the number of ICU beds available to patients with COVID-19 reduces the period over which ICU capacity is anticipated to be exceeded, potentially by more than half ( Figure 3A ). The duration of exceedance for each capacity scenario is increased by quarantine and isolation because the overall epidemic is longer ( Figure 3A ). During the period of exceedance, a degree of unmet need remains, even for the mitigated scenario ( Figure 3B) ......
Document: Increasing the number of ICU beds available to patients with COVID-19 reduces the period over which ICU capacity is anticipated to be exceeded, potentially by more than half ( Figure 3A ). The duration of exceedance for each capacity scenario is increased by quarantine and isolation because the overall epidemic is longer ( Figure 3A ). During the period of exceedance, a degree of unmet need remains, even for the mitigated scenario ( Figure 3B) . A five-fold increase in the number of ICU beds available to patients with COVID-19 dramatically reduces the period and peak of excess demand ( Figures 3A, B) .
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