Selected article for: "estimate growth rate and growth rate"
Author: Steve Yadlowsky; Nigam Shah; Jacob Steinhardt
Title: Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Prevalence in Santa Clara County
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
    • ID: 6vt60348_28
    Snippet: It's unclear if hospitalizations are a reliable source of data or not. One thing we noticed is that the numbers are small, and so directly fitting a model for log(hospitalizations) as a function of days since the outbreak does not give a very good estimate of the growth rate over time. This may be because doing so is sensitive to noise. However, we think that while this may be more sensitive to noise, it is less sensitive to selection biases, and.....
    Document: It's unclear if hospitalizations are a reliable source of data or not. One thing we noticed is that the numbers are small, and so directly fitting a model for log(hospitalizations) as a function of days since the outbreak does not give a very good estimate of the growth rate over time. This may be because doing so is sensitive to noise. However, we think that while this may be more sensitive to noise, it is less sensitive to selection biases, and therefore may serve as a more reliable estimate of prevalence than positive testing rates.

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