Author: Patrick Brown; Prabhat Jha
Title: Mortality from COVID-19 in 12 countries and 6 states of the United States Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: 2r4uty9g_32
Snippet: The wide variation in forecasted mortality suggests interventions might help reduce the eventual total. Reassuringly, our analyses is sufficiently robust to fit actual death patterns in Italy and Spain, and confirms that Germany, Washington and California, which have taken testing, isolation and other strategies seriously have flatter trajectories and lower daily totals than areas with looser measures. This has allowed valuable time to scale up a.....
Document: The wide variation in forecasted mortality suggests interventions might help reduce the eventual total. Reassuringly, our analyses is sufficiently robust to fit actual death patterns in Italy and Spain, and confirms that Germany, Washington and California, which have taken testing, isolation and other strategies seriously have flatter trajectories and lower daily totals than areas with looser measures. This has allowed valuable time to scale up acute bed and ventilator capacity.
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