Fatality and risk features for prognosis in COVID-19 according to the care approach – a retrospective cohort study

Andrés, Mariano; Leon-Ramirez, Jose-Manuel; Moreno-Perez, Oscar; Sánchez-Payá, José; Gayá, Ignacio; Esteban, Violeta; Ribes, Isabel; Torrus-Tendero, Diego; González-de-la-Aleja, Pilar; Llorens, Pere; Boix, Vicente; Gil, Joan; Merino, Esperanza

INTRODUCTION: This study analyzed the impact of a categorized approach, based on patients’ prognosis, on major outcomes and explanators in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 pneumonia in an academic center in Spain. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study (March 3 to May 2, 2020). Patients were categorized according to the followed clinical management, as maximum care or limited therapeutic effort (LTE). Main outcomes were all-cause mortality and need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Baseline factors associated with outcomes were analyzed by multiple logistic regression, estimating odds ratios (OR; 95%CI). RESULTS: Thirty-hundred and six patients were hospitalized, median age 65.0 years, 57.8% males, 53.3% Charlson index ≥3. The overall all-cause fatality rate was 15.0% (n = 46). Maximum care was provided in 238 (77.8%), IMV was used in 38 patients (16.0%), and 5.5% died. LTE was decided in 68 patients (22.2%), none received IMV and fatality was 48.5%. Independent risk factors of mortality under maximum care were lymphocytes <790/mm(3), troponin T >15ng/L and hypotension. Advanced age, lymphocytes <790/mm(3) and BNP >240pg/mL independently associated with IMV requirement. CONCLUSION: Overall fatality in the cohort was 15% but markedly varied regarding the decided approach (maximum care versus LTE), translating into nine-fold higher mortality and different risk factors.