Author: Michal Ben-Nun; Pete Riley; James Turtle; David P. Bacon; Steven Riley
Title: National and Regional Influenza-Like-Illness Forecasts for the USA Document date: 2018_4_27
ID: cheiabv0_37
Snippet: Although our forecasts gave potentially useful information over and above the NULL 372 model for the timing of the peak week (Fig 3) and for the amplitude of peak intensity, 373 the peak week of EW06 was the same as the historical mean. Between EW50 (eight 374 weeks before the season peaks) and EW04 (two weeks before the season peak) our 375 forecast correctly predicted to within ±1 week of the observed peak week (EW06). One 376.....
Document: Although our forecasts gave potentially useful information over and above the NULL 372 model for the timing of the peak week (Fig 3) and for the amplitude of peak intensity, 373 the peak week of EW06 was the same as the historical mean. Between EW50 (eight 374 weeks before the season peaks) and EW04 (two weeks before the season peak) our 375 forecast correctly predicted to within ±1 week of the observed peak week (EW06). One 376
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- correctly predict and week correctly predict: 1
- historical mean and peak week: 1
- observed peak week and peak week: 1, 2, 3
- peak intensity and season peak: 1, 2, 3, 4
- peak week and season peak: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date