Selected article for: "linear model and simple model"
Author: Hurford, A.; Watmough, J.
Title: Don't wait, re-escalate: delayed action results in longer duration of COVID-19 restrictions
  • Cord-id: il1umbev
  • Document date: 2020_11_6
    • ID: il1umbev
    Snippet: We use a simple linear SIR model with case importation to determine the relationship between the timing of restrictions, duration of measures necessary to return the incidence to a set point, and the final size of the outbreak. We conclude from our analysis that delaying re-escalation of restrictions leads to increased duration of control measures and larger outbreaks. Conversely, earlier re-escalation results in shorter disruptions, smaller outbreaks, and consequently, lower economic and social
    Document: We use a simple linear SIR model with case importation to determine the relationship between the timing of restrictions, duration of measures necessary to return the incidence to a set point, and the final size of the outbreak. We conclude from our analysis that delaying re-escalation of restrictions leads to increased duration of control measures and larger outbreaks. Conversely, earlier re-escalation results in shorter disruptions, smaller outbreaks, and consequently, lower economic and social costs.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • active case and local community: 1
    • active case and long place: 1
    • active infection and local community: 1
    • active infection and long period: 1
    • active infection and long place: 1, 2
    • active number and long period: 1, 2, 3
    • local community and long period: 1
    • local community and long place: 1, 2
    • local community and long require: 1