Author: Yao Yu Yeo; Yao-Rui Yeo; Wan-Jin Yeo
Title: A Computational Model for Estimating the Progression of COVID-19 Cases in the US West and East Coasts Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: 8g64u3ux_34
Snippet: We used a population estimate of 53 million. If January 20 is designated Day 0, we assume Phase 2 started at around Day 45, and Phase 3 started at around Day 60. The simulation results suggest that, under quasi-worst-case-scenario, the data for the number of people infected by COVID-19 is far more than reported: about 80% of (those infected but not isolated) are not accounted for. This is probable as many symptoms of COVID-19 may be passed off as.....
Document: We used a population estimate of 53 million. If January 20 is designated Day 0, we assume Phase 2 started at around Day 45, and Phase 3 started at around Day 60. The simulation results suggest that, under quasi-worst-case-scenario, the data for the number of people infected by COVID-19 is far more than reported: about 80% of (those infected but not isolated) are not accounted for. This is probable as many symptoms of COVID-19 may be passed off as just cases of mild flu. In the quasi-worst-case-scenario, we predict the number of reported infections at its peak to be about 25,000 (Fig. 2 ) and the actual number of infections at about 90,000 ( Fig. 3) .
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