Author: TONI MONLEON-GETINO; Jaume Canela-Soler
Title: Next weeks of SARS-CoV-2: Projection model to predict time evolution scenarios of accumulated cases in Spain Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: 9h4pq7up_12
Snippet: In the analyzes presented, projective curves (see Figure 1 ) have been generated for the evolution of accumulated cases in which they reach about 4,000 cases or about 15,000 cases, for which the lines of the day in which the value for 90 will be reached can be seen vertically 90, 95 and 99% of the asymptote (maximum number of cases, from that day they will begin to descend or remain the same), that is why the vertical lines would indicate the slo.....
Document: In the analyzes presented, projective curves (see Figure 1 ) have been generated for the evolution of accumulated cases in which they reach about 4,000 cases or about 15,000 cases, for which the lines of the day in which the value for 90 will be reached can be seen vertically 90, 95 and 99% of the asymptote (maximum number of cases, from that day they will begin to descend or remain the same), that is why the vertical lines would indicate the slow down of the disease. Red dots: real cases. Blue lines: simulation for two scenarios (worst scenario with 15,000 cases, and best scenario for 4,000 cases approx.). Vertical lines indicate the day to reach 90, 95 or 99% asymptote (maximum number of cases). Green vertical line for the best scenario. Red vertical line for the worst scenario.
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