Author: Gytis Dudas; Luiz Max Carvalho; Andrew Rambaut; Trevor Bedford; Ali M. Somily; Mazin Barry; Sarah S. Al Subaie; Abdulaziz A. BinSaeed; Fahad A. Alzamil; Waleed Zaher; Theeb Al Qahtani; Khaldoon Al Jerian; Scott J.N. McNabb; Imad A. Al-Jahdali; Ahmed M. Alotaibi; Nahid A. Batarfi; Matthew Cotten; Simon J. Watson; Spela Binter; Paul Kellam
Title: MERS-CoV spillover at the camel-human interface Document date: 2017_8_10
ID: 8xcplab3_13
Snippet: Overall, our analyses indicate that MERS-CoV is poorly suited for human-to-human transmission, with an estimated R 0 < 0.90 and sequence sampling likely to be biased towards large hospital outbreaks ( Figure S5 ). All matching simulations exhibit highly skewed distributions of case cluster sizes with long tails ( Figure S8 ), which is qualitatively similar to the results of (Cauchemez et al., 2016) . We find that simulated sequence cluster sizes .....
Document: Overall, our analyses indicate that MERS-CoV is poorly suited for human-to-human transmission, with an estimated R 0 < 0.90 and sequence sampling likely to be biased towards large hospital outbreaks ( Figure S5 ). All matching simulations exhibit highly skewed distributions of case cluster sizes with long tails ( Figure S8 ), which is qualitatively similar to the results of (Cauchemez et al., 2016) . We find that simulated sequence cluster sizes resemble observed sequence cluster sizes in the posterior distribution, with a slight
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