Increasing modified CHA2DS2-VASc risk score is associated with acute cardiac injury in hospitalised COVID-19 patients

Sonsoz, Mehmet Rasih; Alp, Murat Erdem; Guven, Gulden; Guler, Ahmet; Unsel, Murat; Altuntas Aydin, Ozlem

BACKGROUND: Prediction of hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19 by the CHA2DS2VASc (M-CHA2DS2VASc) has been recently shown. Because COVID-19 patients with acute cardiac injury have higher mortality compared to those without, we assumed that this risk score may also predict acute cardiac injury in these patients. METHODS: In this retrospective, single centre cohort study, we included 352 hospitalised patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 and divided into three groups according to M-CHA2DS2VASc risk score which was created by changing gender criteria of the CHA2DS2VASc from female to male (Group 1, score 0-1 (n = 142); group 2, score 2-3 (n = 138) and group 3, score ≥4 (n = 72)). RESULTS: As the M-CHA2DS2VASc risk score increased, acute cardiac injury was also significantly increased (Group 1, 11.3%; group 2, 48.6%; group 3, 76%; p < 0.001). The higher M-CHA2DS2VASc tertile had higher prevalence of arrhythmias compared to lower tertile. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that M-CHA2DS2VASc risk score, admission to intensive care unit and invasive mechanical ventilation were independent predictors of acute cardiac injury (p = 0.001, odds ratio 1.675 per scale for M-CHA2DS2VASc). In receiver operating characteristic analysis, M-CHA2DS2VASc risk score was able to predict acute cardiac injury (Area under the curve value for acute cardiac injury was 0.80; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Admission M-CHA2DS2VASc risk score was associated with acute cardiac injury in hospitalised patients with COVID-19.