Selected article for: "incubation period and likelihood function"
Author: Jonathan M Read; Jessica RE Bridgen; Derek AT Cummings; Antonia Ho; Chris P Jewell
Title: Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions
  • Document date: 2020_1_24
    • ID: mt8h4rk5_2
    Snippet: • improved likelihood function, better accounting for first 41 confirmed cases, and now using all infections (rather than just cases detected) in Wuhan for prediction of infection in international travellers; • improved characterization of uncertainty in parameters, and calculation of epidemic trajectory confidence intervals using a more statistically rigorous method; • extended range of latent period in sensitivity analysis to reflect repo.....
    Document: • improved likelihood function, better accounting for first 41 confirmed cases, and now using all infections (rather than just cases detected) in Wuhan for prediction of infection in international travellers; • improved characterization of uncertainty in parameters, and calculation of epidemic trajectory confidence intervals using a more statistically rigorous method; • extended range of latent period in sensitivity analysis to reflect reports of up to 6 day incubation period in household clusters; • removed travel restriction analysis, as different modelling approaches (e.g. stochastic transmission, rather than deterministic transmission) are more appropriate to such analyses.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • confidence interval and household cluster: 1
    • confidence interval and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • confidence interval and latent period: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • confidence interval and likelihood function: 1, 2, 3
    • confidence interval and sensitivity analysis: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • confidence interval and sensitivity analysis latent period: 1
    • confirm case and modelling approach: 1
    • detect case and modelling approach: 1
    • deterministic transmission and incubation period: 1, 2
    • deterministic transmission and sensitivity analysis: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
    • different modelling approach and modelling approach: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
    • household cluster and incubation period: 1
    • incubation period and latent period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • incubation period and likelihood function: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • incubation period and modelling approach: 1, 2
    • incubation period and sensitivity analysis: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • incubation period and sensitivity analysis latent period: 1, 2
    • latent period and modelling approach: 1
    • latent period and sensitivity analysis: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8