Author: Abdullah Ucar; Seyma Arslan; Muhammed Yusuf Ozdemir
Title: Nowcasting and Forecasting the Spread of COVID-19 and Healthcare Demand In Turkey, A Modelling Study Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: cut3vf2c_12
Snippet: COVID-19 overall attack rate for Turkey was considered 81%. (8) . 2018 TurkStat census data was used for age stratification. Using the expected age-specific hospitalization and intensive care ratios; total hospitalization numbers and ICU needs are estimated for each age group. First dimension values were used for IFR values. By applying age-specific IFR values to the expected number of infected people in the relevant age group, the highest number.....
Document: COVID-19 overall attack rate for Turkey was considered 81%. (8) . 2018 TurkStat census data was used for age stratification. Using the expected age-specific hospitalization and intensive care ratios; total hospitalization numbers and ICU needs are estimated for each age group. First dimension values were used for IFR values. By applying age-specific IFR values to the expected number of infected people in the relevant age group, the highest number of expected deaths was determined. (8, 15) . In this dimension, it was assumed that no measures were taken, and the pandemic spread freely throughout the society.
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