Selected article for: "growth rate and prediction interval"
Author: Jonathan M Read; Jessica RE Bridgen; Derek AT Cummings; Antonia Ho; Chris P Jewell
Title: Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions
  • Document date: 2020_1_24
    • ID: mt8h4rk5_22
    Snippet: We estimate that on 22 January, in Wuhan there were currently 14464 infected individuals (prediction interval, 6510-25095), and a total 21022 infections (prediction interval, 11090-33490) since the start of the year. We also estimate t 24 currently infected individuals (prediction interval, 19-30) in other locations of China on this date. For comparative purposes, we estimate the total number of infections in Wuhan from 1January to 18 January inc.....
    Document: We estimate that on 22 January, in Wuhan there were currently 14464 infected individuals (prediction interval, 6510-25095), and a total 21022 infections (prediction interval, 11090-33490) since the start of the year. We also estimate t 24 currently infected individuals (prediction interval, 19-30) in other locations of China on this date. For comparative purposes, we estimate the total number of infections in Wuhan from 1January to 18 January inclusive to have been 6733 (prediction interval, 3500-10914). This estimate of the total infections is comparable to other published estimates based on travel data and reported cases identified outside of China (estimated between 1,700 and 7,800) (Imai et al., 2020a) , and highlights our estimated low ascertainment rate, the rapid growth of the epidemic, and uncertainty in model predictions.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • epidemic rapid growth and rapid growth: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
    • epidemic rapid growth and report case: 1
    • infect individual and model prediction: 1
    • model prediction and prediction interval: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18
    • model prediction and rapid growth: 1, 2
    • model prediction and report case: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • model prediction and total infection: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • prediction interval and rapid growth: 1
    • prediction interval and total infection: 1
    • rapid growth and report case: 1, 2, 3
    • rapid growth and total infection: 1