Author: Arsath Abbasali Ayubali; Sara Roshini Satheesh
Title: On predicting the novel COVID-19 human infections by using Infectious Disease modelling method in the Indian State of Tamil Nadu during 2020 Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 660ul4fb_49
Snippet: the incubation period is a maximum 7 days. Therefore, the conversion rate of the latent human to the infected human = 0.14 which is = 1/( ) . The probability of each infected human (I) becoming a recovered human (R) is duration of the treatment process. The treatment process can vary from each individual, but in this analysis the earliest time of recovery recorded is taken into account. It is evident from reports (Tang, Zhou., Li, Xianbin., Li, H.....
Document: the incubation period is a maximum 7 days. Therefore, the conversion rate of the latent human to the infected human = 0.14 which is = 1/( ) . The probability of each infected human (I) becoming a recovered human (R) is duration of the treatment process. The treatment process can vary from each individual, but in this analysis the earliest time of recovery recorded is taken into account. It is evident from reports (Tang, Zhou., Li, Xianbin., Li, Houqiang., 2020) that, the treatment plan is premeditated to allow the infected person to continue 14 days under quarantine and attain an auto healing effect through the infected human's autoimmune mechanism. Therefore, the treatment cycle selected in this paper is 9.1 days based on the various clinical reports (WHO, 2020) and the Wuhan model, so the recovery rate is 0.11 ( = 1/9.1 = 0.11).
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