Author: Zhanshan (Sam) Ma
Title: A Simple Mathematical Model for Estimating the Inflection Points of COVID-19 Outbreaks Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: fttqmts4_30
Snippet: It is particularly worthy of noticing that the dependent variable (I) of PLEC, almost unavoidably, declines after the inflection point (maximum) due to the taper-off parameter (d). Nevertheless, this should not be an issue in the case of this study, since our purpose is to detect the inflection point (T max ) as well as the corresponding maximum (I max ). In other words, the declining piece of PLEC curve after the inflection point is "irrelevant".....
Document: It is particularly worthy of noticing that the dependent variable (I) of PLEC, almost unavoidably, declines after the inflection point (maximum) due to the taper-off parameter (d). Nevertheless, this should not be an issue in the case of this study, since our purpose is to detect the inflection point (T max ) as well as the corresponding maximum (I max ). In other words, the declining piece of PLEC curve after the inflection point is "irrelevant" for our purpose. Of course, this also implies that our model is only applicable to unimodal (single peak) outbreak.
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