Author: Zhanshan (Sam) Ma
Title: A Simple Mathematical Model for Estimating the Inflection Points of COVID-19 Outbreaks Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: fttqmts4_53
Snippet: Given the above-discussed limitations of the PLEC model, we also applied the tipping point detection technique based on Fisher information for determining the inflection points, but failed to detecting any inflection (tipping) points in the datasets of COVID-19 infections. As shown in Table S1 Finally, we would like to mention one potentially very important point regarding the prediction of inflection points, but is beyond the scope of this study.....
Document: Given the above-discussed limitations of the PLEC model, we also applied the tipping point detection technique based on Fisher information for determining the inflection points, but failed to detecting any inflection (tipping) points in the datasets of COVID-19 infections. As shown in Table S1 Finally, we would like to mention one potentially very important point regarding the prediction of inflection points, but is beyond the scope of this study, that is, the potentially critical influences of public-health intervention/prevention measures on the occurrences of inflection points. Such a study may only be possible after the COVID-19 worldwide pandemic is over in our opinion. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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