Author: Morten Gram Pedersen; Matteo Meneghini
Title: A simple method to quantify country-specific effects of COVID-19 containment measures Document date: 2020_4_10
ID: aqwdg489_11
Snippet: Our model has only two free parameters to be determined from other data. The estimated values for the cure rate of non-identified cases, α = 0.067/day, and the rate of isolation, η = 0.033/day, (see Methods) yield β = τ −1 + 0.1 and basic reproduction number R 0 = τ −1 /0.1 + 1, which falls between 3.1 and 4.5 for all regions except N.Y.C. (R 0 = 6.1) for the initial period. These values are in line with previous estimates of R 0 lying b.....
Document: Our model has only two free parameters to be determined from other data. The estimated values for the cure rate of non-identified cases, α = 0.067/day, and the rate of isolation, η = 0.033/day, (see Methods) yield β = τ −1 + 0.1 and basic reproduction number R 0 = τ −1 /0.1 + 1, which falls between 3.1 and 4.5 for all regions except N.Y.C. (R 0 = 6.1) for the initial period. These values are in line with previous estimates of R 0 lying between 2 and 4 [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] . After the restrictions were introduced, R 0 dropped to 0.2 -2.1.
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