Selected article for: "infected case and total case"
Author: Abdullah Ucar; Seyma Arslan; Muhammed Yusuf Ozdemir
Title: Nowcasting and Forecasting the Spread of COVID-19 and Healthcare Demand In Turkey, A Modelling Study
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
    • ID: cut3vf2c_65
    Snippet: In the third dimension of the study, using the TURKSAS simulation, the number of cases and deaths that will occur within a year are predicted according to four different scenarios. In the first scenario, it was assumed that no intervention was done for the epidemic. According to this worst-case scenario, a total of 72 million people would be infected in Turkey, 446 thousand people are estimated to have died. According to the ICL report, if there .....
    Document: In the third dimension of the study, using the TURKSAS simulation, the number of cases and deaths that will occur within a year are predicted according to four different scenarios. In the first scenario, it was assumed that no intervention was done for the epidemic. According to this worst-case scenario, a total of 72 million people would be infected in Turkey, 446 thousand people are estimated to have died. According to the ICL report, if there is no intervention, 510 thousand deaths are expected in the UK and 2.2 million in the United States. Also, it is calculated that the ICU bed capacity can be exceeded 30 fold for the UK. (8) . In our study, the ICU bed capacity in Turkey is expected to exceed 4.4 fold.

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