Author: KV Parag; CA Donnelly
Title: Optimising Renewal Models for Real-Time Epidemic Prediction and Estimation Document date: 2019_11_8
ID: 9t5ncsig_28
Snippet: . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license is made available under a The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the author/funder. It . https://doi.org/10.1101/835181 doi: bioRxiv preprint Fig. 6 . Between 8 − 10% of incidence data points are better covered by using 277 k * over k = 7. This improvement is apparent in the right graphs of (a) and 278 (b) in Fig. 7 , where the k = 7 case produces stiffer incidence predict.....
Document: . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license is made available under a The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the author/funder. It . https://doi.org/10.1101/835181 doi: bioRxiv preprint Fig. 6 . Between 8 − 10% of incidence data points are better covered by using 277 k * over k = 7. This improvement is apparent in the right graphs of (a) and 278 (b) in Fig. 7 , where the k = 7 case produces stiffer incidence predictions that 279 cannot properly reproduce the observed epi-curve. Weekly windows misjudge 280 the SARS epidemic peak, predict a multimodal SARS incidence curve that is 281 not reflected by the actual data and systematically underestimate influenza case 282 counts when it matters most (i.e. around the high incidence phase).
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- cc NC ND International license and right graph: 1
- cc NC ND International license and weekly window: 1
- epi curve and International license: 1
- epi curve and weekly window: 1
- epidemic peak and International license: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21
- epidemic peak and SARS epidemic peak: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- incidence curve and International license: 1, 2, 3, 4
- incidence curve and SARS epidemic peak: 1
- incidence phase and International license: 1
- incidence prediction and International license: 1
- influenza case and International license: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- International license and right graph: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date