Selected article for: "case incubation period set and serial interval"
Author: Joel Hellewell; Sam Abbott; Amy Gimma; Nikos I Bosse; Christopher I Jarvis; Timothy W Russell; James D Munday; Adam J Kucharski; W John Edmunds; CMMID nCoV working group; Sebastian Funk; Rosalind M Eggo
Title: Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts
  • Document date: 2020_2_11
    • ID: a8ig607t_24
    Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.08.20021162 doi: medRxiv preprint short delay to isolation, 15% of transmission before symptom onset, and 0% subclinical infection. Table 1 . B) The incubation distribution estimate fitted to data from the Wuhan outbreak by Backer et al. 24 . C) An example of the method used to sample the serial interval for a case that has an incubation period of 5 days. Each case has an in.....
    Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.08.20021162 doi: medRxiv preprint short delay to isolation, 15% of transmission before symptom onset, and 0% subclinical infection. Table 1 . B) The incubation distribution estimate fitted to data from the Wuhan outbreak by Backer et al. 24 . C) An example of the method used to sample the serial interval for a case that has an incubation period of 5 days. Each case has an incubation period drawn from the distribution in B, their serial interval is then drawn from a skewed normal distribution with the mean set to the incubation period of the case. In C, the incubation period was 5 days. The skew parameter of the skewed normal distribution controls the proportion of transmission that occurs before symptom onset, the three scenarios explored are <1% of transmission before onset (grey), 15% of transmission before onset (gold), and 30% of transmission before onset (pink).

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