Selected article for: "asymptomatic infectious period and incubation period"
Author: Abdullah Ucar; Seyma Arslan; Muhammed Yusuf Ozdemir
Title: Nowcasting and Forecasting the Spread of COVID-19 and Healthcare Demand In Turkey, A Modelling Study
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
    • ID: cut3vf2c_17
    Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04. 13.20063305 doi: medRxiv preprint Because the incubation period, infectious period, and R0 variables differ between symptomatic and asymptomatic cases, these two groups are considered as separate community layers in this model. Also, it is assumed that asymptomatic cases will not apply to the hospital and die. The R compartment was also restructured to predict the need for .....
    Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04. 13.20063305 doi: medRxiv preprint Because the incubation period, infectious period, and R0 variables differ between symptomatic and asymptomatic cases, these two groups are considered as separate community layers in this model. Also, it is assumed that asymptomatic cases will not apply to the hospital and die. The R compartment was also restructured to predict the need for health care. Some of the infected people will recover with mild symptoms without hospital admission (H) Some of them will be late to apply to the hospital even though they show symptoms. (G). After the delay, these people will apply to the hospital (Y). It is assumed that, all positive cases which admitted to the hospital are transferred to wards at first. Some of these patients will recover directly from the service (İY) and some will be recovered and discharged from ICU (YBU1). Others will go to ICU (YBU2) then die (Ö).

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