Author: Robert L Shuler
Title: Partial unlock model for COVID-19 or similar pandemic averts medical and economic disaster Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: lmmrnitr_7
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20048082 doi: medRxiv preprint 4 resources. To predict the effect of an "unlock" the model (or the person using it) can use a response 40 calibration from a previous time, or estimate a new one. For this paper, we use the initial spread rate to 41 model "unlock." This may be high, as people will likely not go back to mass gatherings an.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20048082 doi: medRxiv preprint 4 resources. To predict the effect of an "unlock" the model (or the person using it) can use a response 40 calibration from a previous time, or estimate a new one. For this paper, we use the initial spread rate to 41 model "unlock." This may be high, as people will likely not go back to mass gatherings and flying on 42 airplanes immediately, which simply means we model a worst case scenario which gives the model a 43 margin of safety. 44
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