Author: Yi Zou; Stephen Pan; Peng Zhao; Lei Han; Xiaoxiang Wang; Johannes Knops; Wopke van der Werf; Lia Hemerik
Title: Outbreak analysis with a logistic growth model shows COVID-19 suppression dynamics in China Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: b4zr1g04_6
Snippet: indicates the peak of number of deaths on the same day. Outside Hubei, the peak number of 163 reported sick cases (and peak of daily number dying) was on average reached 18 days after 164 the start of suppression (Table 1 ). The rate of daily increase in reported cases peaked 17 days 165 after the start of suppression measures in Hubei, and on average 10 days after the start of 166 measures in the other provinces (range: 8 to 15 days). When assum.....
Document: indicates the peak of number of deaths on the same day. Outside Hubei, the peak number of 163 reported sick cases (and peak of daily number dying) was on average reached 18 days after 164 the start of suppression (Table 1 ). The rate of daily increase in reported cases peaked 17 days 165 after the start of suppression measures in Hubei, and on average 10 days after the start of 166 measures in the other provinces (range: 8 to 15 days). When assuming a reporting delay of 6 167 days [9] , the actual peak in the rate of increase occurred at 11 days after the implementation of 168 measures in Hubei and at 4 days after the implementation of measures in the other provinces. 169
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