Author: KV Parag; CA Donnelly
Title: Optimising Renewal Models for Real-Time Epidemic Prediction and Estimation Document date: 2019_11_8
ID: 9t5ncsig_12
Snippet: (2) we used the conditional independence of future incidence data from 149 the past epi-curve, given the reproduction number to reduce P x | I s s−k+1 , R τ (s) 150 to P x | R τ (s) , which expresses the renewal model relation x ∼ Poiss(R τ (s) Λ s+1 )......
Document: (2) we used the conditional independence of future incidence data from 149 the past epi-curve, given the reproduction number to reduce P x | I s s−k+1 , R τ (s) 150 to P x | R τ (s) , which expresses the renewal model relation x ∼ Poiss(R τ (s) Λ s+1 ).
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