Author: Morten Gram Pedersen; Matteo Meneghini
Title: A simple method to quantify country-specific effects of COVID-19 containment measures Document date: 2020_4_10
ID: aqwdg489_27
Snippet: For Italy we saw no effect of school closures. However, the worst hit Northern regions closed schools immediately after the first cases were registered on February 20-21, 2020. These dates coincides with the beginning of the carnival school holidays. Hence, the date of school closure may not show up in the data since schools were shut anyway. The fact that the initial estimated growth rate in Italy is slightly slower than in e.g. France and Spain.....
Document: For Italy we saw no effect of school closures. However, the worst hit Northern regions closed schools immediately after the first cases were registered on February 20-21, 2020. These dates coincides with the beginning of the carnival school holidays. Hence, the date of school closure may not show up in the data since schools were shut anyway. The fact that the initial estimated growth rate in Italy is slightly slower than in e.g. France and Spain may reflect that schools were closed from the beginning of the epidemic in Italy. For Italy, we estimated that the growth rate changed on 12/3, coinciding with the complete lockdown that was introduced March 9-11, 2020.
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