Selected article for: "cc NC ND International license and epidemic model"
Author: Jonathan M Read; Jessica RE Bridgen; Derek AT Cummings; Antonia Ho; Chris P Jewell
Title: Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions
  • Document date: 2020_1_24
    • ID: mt8h4rk5_23
    Snippet: Should the transmission continue at the same rate in Wuhan, with no control or change in the behaviour of individuals (such as spontaneous social distancing) our model predicts that on 29 January the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger, with 594 cases expected to be detected on that day in Wuhan (prediction interval, 446-788) and 105077 currently infected (prediction interval, 46635-185412); see Figure 3 and Table 1 . If transmission h.....
    Document: Should the transmission continue at the same rate in Wuhan, with no control or change in the behaviour of individuals (such as spontaneous social distancing) our model predicts that on 29 January the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger, with 594 cases expected to be detected on that day in Wuhan (prediction interval, 446-788) and 105077 currently infected (prediction interval, 46635-185412); see Figure 3 and Table 1 . If transmission has . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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