Author: Anthony Medfod; Sergi Trias-Llimos
Title: Population age structure only partially explains the large number of COVID-19 deaths at the oldest ages Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: lkbwxo41_2
Snippet: As the pandemic matures the numbers of deaths is rising at an alarming rate. On March 15, 2020 there were about 6,500 deaths globally. Thirteen days later, on March 28, 2020 there were almost 31000 deaths globally --an almost fivefold increase. Surprisingly, there has not been much focus on the age pattern of COVID-19 deaths thus far though attempts have been made to understand the differences in case fatality rates between countries (1-3). We ex.....
Document: As the pandemic matures the numbers of deaths is rising at an alarming rate. On March 15, 2020 there were about 6,500 deaths globally. Thirteen days later, on March 28, 2020 there were almost 31000 deaths globally --an almost fivefold increase. Surprisingly, there has not been much focus on the age pattern of COVID-19 deaths thus far though attempts have been made to understand the differences in case fatality rates between countries (1-3). We explore differences in the age distribution of COVID-19 deaths among European countries with older age structures: France, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain (subsample). We do this via a cross-country comparison of the age-patterns in observed COVID -19 death counts and their counterfactual distribution adjusted by the age-structure of Italy. We include Chinese data for comparison. See Supplementary Material for methodological details.
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