Author: Xiang Zhou; Na Hong; Yingying Ma; Jie He; Huizhen Jiang; Chun Liu; Guangliang Shan; Longxiang Su; Weiguo Zhu; Yun Long
Title: Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR Model Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 52zjm9jt_31
Snippet: We summarized the epidemic curves of the 8 observed countries to help clarify the global trends and disclose the spread pattern of different countries. Cases increased rapidly in these countries, In Figure 2 , the death tolls in Italy due to COVID-19 reached 4032 as of March 20, and the mortality rate of Italy reached 8.57%. Iran's early negligence also caused a very high mortality rate of 40% at its early stage. Some countries also have high mor.....
Document: We summarized the epidemic curves of the 8 observed countries to help clarify the global trends and disclose the spread pattern of different countries. Cases increased rapidly in these countries, In Figure 2 , the death tolls in Italy due to COVID-19 reached 4032 as of March 20, and the mortality rate of Italy reached 8.57%. Iran's early negligence also caused a very high mortality rate of 40% at its early stage. Some countries also have high mortality rates, such as the US and Japan. However, South Korea and Germany controlled the mortality rate at approximately 1%, which is a positive indication.
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