Author: Robert L Shuler
Title: Partial unlock model for COVID-19 or similar pandemic averts medical and economic disaster Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: lmmrnitr_29
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20048082 doi: medRxiv preprint 9 and in the http://medRxiv.org preprint repository, and is currently available at 144 http://shulerresearch.org/covid19.htm . Each day actual data was used to replace predicted data based 145 on CDC data at the link specified above. This affects the model's integration base and the effective 146 reproduc.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20048082 doi: medRxiv preprint 9 and in the http://medRxiv.org preprint repository, and is currently available at 144 http://shulerresearch.org/covid19.htm . Each day actual data was used to replace predicted data based 145 on CDC data at the link specified above. This affects the model's integration base and the effective 146 reproduction rate R. The number of "new" cases, necessary for bookkeeping active and spreading 147 cases and ventilator utilization, is deduced from the day to day change is number of cases. Total cases, 148 used for the herd immunity calculation, is calculated by either 5 or 6 times the known cases as 149 described. 150
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