Author: Xiang Zhou; Na Hong; Yingying Ma; Jie He; Huizhen Jiang; Chun Liu; Guangliang Shan; Longxiang Su; Weiguo Zhu; Yun Long
Title: Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR Model Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 52zjm9jt_48
Snippet: However, considering that each country has different cultures and healthcare situations and that the implementation of the policies and control measures are at different levels 21 , the actual situation of those countries should be between Scenario 2 and Scenario 3. It is worth pointing out that, compared with implementing no interventions, if governments take strict control measures to reduce the movement of the population and implement prompt d.....
Document: However, considering that each country has different cultures and healthcare situations and that the implementation of the policies and control measures are at different levels 21 , the actual situation of those countries should be between Scenario 2 and Scenario 3. It is worth pointing out that, compared with implementing no interventions, if governments take strict control measures to reduce the movement of the population and implement prompt diagnosis and isolation, the peak time will be reached, and the peak size would greatly decrease to a relatively low level in approximately 30 days; it is best triggered in the early stage of the epidemic; however, it will need to be maintained for several months until a vaccine becomes available. Conversely, as long . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- actual situation and different level: 1
- actual situation and early stage: 1, 2
- cc NC ND International license and control measure: 1, 2, 3
- cc NC ND International license and control policy: 1
- cc NC ND International license and different level: 1, 2
- cc NC ND International license and early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23
- cc NC ND International license and epidemic early stage: 1, 2, 3
- cc NC ND International license and International license: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- control measure and different level: 1
- control measure and early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- control measure and epidemic early stage: 1, 2, 3
- control measure and healthcare situation: 1, 2
- control measure and International license: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
- control measure and intervention implement: 1
- control policy and different culture: 1, 2
- control policy and early stage: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- control policy and epidemic early stage: 1, 2
- control policy and International license: 1
- control policy and intervention implement: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date