Author: Anna L. Ziff; Robert M. Ziff
Title: Fractal kinetics of COVID-19 pandemic Document date: 2020_2_20
ID: jljjqs6m_30
Snippet: Growing as t 2 is what one would expect if a disease were growing in a population at the periphery of a compact region of infection. We believe that this is more likely than an exponential growth, because the number of susceptible individuals around an infected individual decays with time. Individuals already infected might face increased immunity and there are other individuals who might have had a mild infection that imparts immunity but withou.....
Document: Growing as t 2 is what one would expect if a disease were growing in a population at the periphery of a compact region of infection. We believe that this is more likely than an exponential growth, because the number of susceptible individuals around an infected individual decays with time. Individuals already infected might face increased immunity and there are other individuals who might have had a mild infection that imparts immunity but without developing symptoms warranting testing. These various effects would inhibit the exponential growth of the virus.
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