Author: Yun-ting He; Hao He; Jing Zhai; Xiao-jin Wang; Bing-shun Wang
Title: Moving-average based index to timely evaluate the current epidemic situation after COVID-19 outbreak Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: bcde0u7u_10
Snippet: (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https: //doi.org/10.1101 //doi.org/10. /2020 al. 2020). The median time from the onset of symptom to hospital admission was 7.0 days , and it should become shorter due to the deeper public awareness of the disease. According to NHC, the average time from onset to diagnosis is 4.95 days by February 17, 2020, so the number of new cases per day cannot accurately account for the e.....
Document: (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https: //doi.org/10.1101 //doi.org/10. /2020 al. 2020). The median time from the onset of symptom to hospital admission was 7.0 days , and it should become shorter due to the deeper public awareness of the disease. According to NHC, the average time from onset to diagnosis is 4.95 days by February 17, 2020, so the number of new cases per day cannot accurately account for the epidemic situation. The choice of LMA duration can be changed based on the dynamics of the epidemic. Here, we mainly used the 7-day LMA, which can better cover both the incubation period and the duration from the first symptoms to diagnosis. Other MAs (5-day, 10-day and 14-day) were used for sensitivity analysis and auxiliary display was performed in the appendix.
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