Author: Jianghu Dong; Yongdao Zhou; Ying Zhang; Douglas Franz
Title: A Validation Study for the Successful Isolation Policy in China: a Meta-Analysis in COVID-19 Document date: 2020_4_18
ID: algpj6k5_5
Snippet: The basic reproductive number R 0 is an important pandemic index to indi-117 cate infectious intensity, but it is challenging to determine the true value. Many 118 studies have given a wide range of R 0 in the existing literature, and we propose 119 the meta-analysis to estimate it in Section 2.1. Usually, the higher the reproduc-120 tion number, the more people will be infected given no intervention. We proposed 121 to use the infectious rate pe.....
Document: The basic reproductive number R 0 is an important pandemic index to indi-117 cate infectious intensity, but it is challenging to determine the true value. Many 118 studies have given a wide range of R 0 in the existing literature, and we propose 119 the meta-analysis to estimate it in Section 2.1. Usually, the higher the reproduc-120 tion number, the more people will be infected given no intervention. We proposed 121 to use the infectious rate per million population from Y t and P to see the pan-122 demic severity in Section 2.2. Also, this standardized infectious rate per million 123 population also allows us to compare the intervention effects of COVID-19 across 124 countries. If the infectious rate exceeds the maximum healthcare capacity, the 125 pandemic will cause a high mortality rate. Therefore, we discuss the relationship 126 between the healthcare capacity and the peak of the infectious rate in Section 3. The estimated values of R 0 were different from each other with the range was 138 from 1.95 to 6.49. This huge difference of R 0 motivated us to estimate the basic 139 All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission.
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