The Value of Combining Carbon Dioxide Gap and Oxygen-Derived Variables with Lactate Clearance in Predicting Mortality after Resuscitation of Septic Shock Patients

Ahmed, Walid; Laimoud, Mohamed

BACKGROUND: Achieving hemodynamic stabilization does not prevent progressive tissue hypoperfusion and organ dysfunction during resuscitation of septic shock patients. Many indicators have been proposed to judge the optimization of oxygen delivery to meet tissue oxygen consumption. METHODS: A prospective observational study was conducted to evaluate and validate combining CO(2) gap and oxygen-derived variables with lactate clearance during early hours of resuscitation of adults presenting with septic shock. RESULTS: Our study included 456 adults with a mean age of 63.2 ± 6.9 years, with 71.9% being males. Respiratory and urinary infections were the origin of about 75% of sepsis. Mortality occurred in 164 (35.9%) patients. The APACHE II score was 18.2 ± 3.7 versus 34.3 ± 6.8 (p < 0.001), the initial SOFA score was 5.8 ± 3.1 versus 7.3 ± 1.4 (p=0.001), while the SOFA score after 48 hours was 4.2 ± 1.8 versus 9.4 ± 3.1 (p < 0.001) in the survivors and nonsurvivors, respectively. Hospital mortality was independently predicted by hyperlactatemia (OR: 2.47; 95% CI: 1.63–6.82, p=0.004), PvaCO(2) gap (OR: 2.62; 95% CI: 1.28–6.74, p=0.026), PvaCO(2)/CavO(2) ratio (OR: 2.16; 95% CI: 1.49–5.74, p=0.006), and increased SOFA score after 48 hours of admission (OR: 1.86; 95% CI: 1.36–8.13, p=0.02). A blood lactate cutoff of 40 mg/dl at the 6th hour of resuscitation (T6) had a 92.7% sensitivity and 75.3% specificity for predicting hospital mortality (AUROC = 0.902) with 81.6% accuracy. Combining the lactate cutoff of 40 mg/dl and PvaCO(2)/CavO(2) ratio cutoff of 1.4 increased the specificity to 93.2% with a sensitivity of 75.6% in predicting mortality and with 86.8% accuracy. Combining the lactate cutoff of 40 mg/dl and PvaCO(2) gap of 6 mmHg increased the sensitivity to 93% and increased the specificity to 98% in predicting mortality with 91% accuracy. CONCLUSION: Combining the carbon dioxide gap and arteriovenous oxygen difference with lactate clearance during early hours of resuscitation of septic shock patients helps to predict hospital mortality more accurately.