Selected article for: "epidemic final size and final size"

Author: Oscar Patterson-Lomba
Title: Optimal timing for social distancing during an epidemic
  • Document date: 2020_4_1
  • ID: cm91jxde_38
    Snippet: The factors r and T determine the extent to which optimally timed social distancing reduces the final epidemic size or flattens the epidemic curve. Larger reductions in transmissibility and social distancing of longer durations lead, as expected, to grater reductions in final size and more flattening of the epidemic. Interestingly, the lower the R 0 the greater the potential reductions of optimally timed social distancing measures in final size a.....
    Document: The factors r and T determine the extent to which optimally timed social distancing reduces the final epidemic size or flattens the epidemic curve. Larger reductions in transmissibility and social distancing of longer durations lead, as expected, to grater reductions in final size and more flattening of the epidemic. Interestingly, the lower the R 0 the greater the potential reductions of optimally timed social distancing measures in final size and delay in peak prevalence, whereas the higher the R 0 the greater the reduction in peak prevalence.

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