Author: Ke Wu; Didier Darcet; Qian Wang; Didier Sornette
Title: Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world Document date: 2020_3_16
ID: 9607dy2o_3
Snippet: There have been quite an extensive literature reporting statistical analysis and future scenarios based on phenomenological models. Most of previous work use simple exponential growth models and focus on the early growing process [1] [2] [3] [4] . On the other hand, there are also many works arguing that the number of infected people follows a trajectory different from a simple exponential growth [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] .....
Document: There have been quite an extensive literature reporting statistical analysis and future scenarios based on phenomenological models. Most of previous work use simple exponential growth models and focus on the early growing process [1] [2] [3] [4] . On the other hand, there are also many works arguing that the number of infected people follows a trajectory different from a simple exponential growth [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] .
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