Author: Michal Ben-Nun; Pete Riley; James Turtle; David P. Bacon; Steven Riley
Title: National and Regional Influenza-Like-Illness Forecasts for the USA Document date: 2018_4_27
ID: cheiabv0_10
Snippet: scaling by percent clinical p C j , and adding a baseline B j . The term p C j is the proportion 133 of infectious individuals that present themselves to a clinic with ILI symptoms and B j 134 is a constant that estimates non-S-I-R or false-ILI cases. The integral runs over one 135 week determining the number of model cases for week t i . ∆ t approximates the time 136 delay from when an individual becomes infectious to when they visit a sentine.....
Document: scaling by percent clinical p C j , and adding a baseline B j . The term p C j is the proportion 133 of infectious individuals that present themselves to a clinic with ILI symptoms and B j 134 is a constant that estimates non-S-I-R or false-ILI cases. The integral runs over one 135 week determining the number of model cases for week t i . ∆ t approximates the time 136 delay from when an individual becomes infectious to when they visit a sentinel provider 137
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