Author: John P. A. Ioannidis; Cathrine Axfors; Despina G. Contopoulos-Ioannidis
Title: Population-level COVID-19 mortality risk for non-elderly individuals overall and for non-elderly individuals without underlying diseases in pandemic epicenters Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: 2cwvga0k_57
Snippet: The data that we have compiled nevertheless allow to estimate also absolute risks of death in the highest risk group, i.e. elderly individuals ≥80 years old in these 12 hot epicenters of the pandemic. These are markedly higher than the risks of death in individuals <65 years old. However, the absolute risk of death even in this highest age category to-date and even in these hot epicenters do not exceed 0.24% in any location and in most location.....
Document: The data that we have compiled nevertheless allow to estimate also absolute risks of death in the highest risk group, i.e. elderly individuals ≥80 years old in these 12 hot epicenters of the pandemic. These are markedly higher than the risks of death in individuals <65 years old. However, the absolute risk of death even in this highest age category to-date and even in these hot epicenters do not exceed 0.24% in any location and in most locations it is lower than 1 in a thousand. Nevertheless, these risks may be high enough to warrant high alert and they suggest that, no matter what strategy is selected for addressing COVID-19 in the current or future epidemic waves should include special emphasis in protecting very elderly individuals.
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