Author: pierre magal; Glenn Webb
Title: Predicting the number of reported and unreported cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in South Korea, Italy, France and Germany Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: 9zeqigqa_42
Snippet: We have applied a method developed in [1] and [2] to predict the evolution of a COVID-19 epidemic in a geographical region, based of reported case data in that region. Our method uses early data, when the epidemic is in its second phase and growing exponentially, corresponding to a constant transmission rate......
Document: We have applied a method developed in [1] and [2] to predict the evolution of a COVID-19 epidemic in a geographical region, based of reported case data in that region. Our method uses early data, when the epidemic is in its second phase and growing exponentially, corresponding to a constant transmission rate.
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