Prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak based on a realistic stochastic model

Yuan Zhang; Chong You; Zhenghao Cai; Jiarui Sun; Wenjie Hu; Xiao-Hua Zhou

Data used in this study include the numbers of confirmed diagnosis, recoveries and fatalities in the following provinces and cities of China: Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Guangdong, Zhejiang and Hunan. These publicly available data were retrieved from Beijing Municipal Health Commission (2020); Shanghai Municipal Health Commission (2020); Chongqing Municipal Health Commission (2020); Health Commission of Guangdong Province (2020); Health Commission of Zhejiang Province (2020) and Health Commission of Hunan Province (2020) based on a daily update (see Table 5 and Table 6 in Appendix A). The corresponding population of residents in each region is collected from China National Bureau of Statistics (2018) (see Table 7 in Appendix A).